0x19AEcC0bE1188366a3731a236c2d238C69Be8a74-1778375767703
0x19aecc0be1188366a3731a236c2d238c69be8a74
- Realised P&L
- $41.79
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $49.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.289 | $28.11 | −$1.89 |
| UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Merab Dvalishvili | 0.390 | 0.385 | $21.56 | −$0.28 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.72 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.48 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.79at 0.205UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$30.45at 0.750UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$22.65at 0.184UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$15.89at 0.300Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
- +$6.98at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 17:22 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.39 | $21.84 |
| 10-12 17:21 | Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3089999989 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 15:36 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.4699999612 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 15:36 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $90.00 |
| 07-19 21:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3189999901 | $19.34 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3558562796 | $38.38 |
| 07-06 14:13 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.229999983 | $9.48 |
| 07-06 14:10 | Will Merab Dvalishvili be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0053349155 | $0.36 |
| 07-06 14:10 | Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0808041817 | $2.01 |
| 07-06 14:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.22 |
| 06-18 21:42 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $5.10 |
| 06-16 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999579 | $4.00 |
| 06-16 10:33 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 08:13 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |