PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x19AEcC0bE1188366a3731a236c2d238C69Be8a74-1778375767703

0x19aecc0be1188366a3731a236c2d238c69be8a74

Realised P&L
$41.79
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$49.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3090.289$28.11−$1.89
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Merab Dvalishvili0.3900.385$21.56−$0.28
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3430.000$0.00−$57.72
Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$4.00
Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$9.48
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 17:22UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.39$21.84
10-12 17:21Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.3089999989$30.00
09-17 15:36Will the fight be won by submission?BUY0.4699999612$4.00
09-17 15:36UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.7399999995$90.00
07-19 21:23Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3189999901$19.34
07-19 21:00Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3558562796$38.38
07-06 14:13Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.229999983$9.48
07-06 14:10Will Merab Dvalishvili be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.0053349155$0.36
07-06 14:10Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.0808041817$2.01
07-06 14:10Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.14$7.22
06-18 21:42Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
06-16 10:53Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSELL0.37$5.10
06-16 10:53Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.2899999579$4.00
06-16 10:33Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-15 08:13Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.219999985$10.00