0x19aa62dd601ddfb68fa2399e5e49d00cbc90f036
0x19aa62dd601ddfb68fa2399e5e49d00cbc90f036
- Realised P&L
- $28.90
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $4.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.567 | 0.265 | $4.68 | −$5.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.62at 0.789Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?
- +$17.99at 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$17.73at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$12.27at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$11.97at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5666003914 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 13:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 13:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7722772247 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:02 | XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:02 | Solana Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6920278256 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 12:52 | Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 12:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 12:48 | Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |