0x19a5e3548029a17b641d2d0ade8bbdfb4a6e382e
0x19a5e3548029a17b641d2d0ade8bbdfb4a6e382e
- Realised P&L
- $-8.89
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $22.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers · Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 0.870 | 0.805 | $21.28 | −$1.72 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards · Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls · Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.25 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.14at 0.836Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fighters
- +$2.97at 0.875Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:57 | Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers | BUY | 0.8699999955 | $23.00 |
| 10-18 01:30 | Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards | BUY | 0.5099999794 | $5.19 |
| 10-18 01:30 | Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls | BUY | 0.75 | $10.25 |
| 10-18 01:30 | Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks | BUY | 0.8599999949 | $20.37 |
| 10-17 07:19 | Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fighters | BUY | 0.8199999989 | $30.60 |
| 10-17 06:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $1.05 |
| 10-06 03:38 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:54 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 05:19 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |