Nefe6
0x19a124b8e242a434e26511a4185827a18ef5ae59
- Realised P&L
- $-2.66
- Volume
- $729.67
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? · No | 0.005 | 0.004 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $0.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.003 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? · No | 0.019 | 0.002 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? · No | 0.200 | 0.005 | $0.05 | −$1.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? · No | 0.078 | 0.003 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.66at 0.198Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.019Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0048569153 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0055636361 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0186891435 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0091062677 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0779290693 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:58 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.74 |
| 10-01 05:53 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:30 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |