PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nefe6

0x19a124b8e242a434e26511a4185827a18ef5ae59

Realised P&L
$-2.66
Volume
$729.67
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$1.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? · No0.0050.004$0.63−$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.0050.003$0.62−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? · Yes0.0090.003$0.27−$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? · No0.0190.002$0.11−$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? · No0.2000.005$0.05−$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? · No0.0780.003$0.03−$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:31Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.0048569153$1.00
10-01 07:31Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.0055636361$1.00
10-01 07:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?BUY0.0186891435$1.00
10-01 07:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.0091062677$1.00
10-01 07:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.0779290693$1.00
10-01 06:58Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.18$4.74
10-01 05:53Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?BUY0.019$2.00
10-01 05:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.2$2.00
10-01 05:30Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1899999962$5.00