Graypoint
0x199fd05b3764e94660cc9a57a09e5266fdfbb36a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $81.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.029 | $49.17 | −$50.83 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.025 | $32.12 | −$17.87 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins · Kia Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers · KT Wiz | 0.614 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.87 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins · LG Twins | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.563 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.86 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Spurs | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.628 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$371.28at 0.473Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$314.71at 0.618Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$313.25at 0.548Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
- +$298.23at 0.556Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
- +$294.58at 0.247Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 11:45 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $35.87 |
| 06-06 01:52 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 00:30 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.5627606465 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 00:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0381328805 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 15:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 03:12 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-31 02:48 | KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 05-31 02:44 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.9615082039 | $397.31 |
| 05-12 03:11 | KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.6 | $76.86 |
| 05-10 15:12 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 01:42 | Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | SELL | 0.6707502423 | $131.51 |
| 05-10 00:09 | Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 05:47 | KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 05-06 11:31 | Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $133.03 |
| 05-05 09:34 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |