PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OnlyBUYNO

0x199f9e490b812d977c8549c993e2ce0cccfb3d76

Realised P&L
$48.1k
Volume
$324.5k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$6.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2800.055$6.02−$24.63
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00−$6.48
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5 · Over0.0780.000$0.00−$1.3k
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? · Yes0.9020.000$0.00−$220.00
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$110.00
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.4240.000$0.00−$19.19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$50.00
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 11:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 25?BUY0.9989999501$6.66
09-24 11:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C or below on September 25?BUY0.997$2.67
09-24 11:40Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.998$5.02
09-24 11:40Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on September 25?BUY0.9989997819$4.10
09-24 11:40Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.998$2.57
09-24 11:40Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.999$3.37
07-12 13:17France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$6.48
06-14 13:12Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?BUY0.995$6.00
05-20 14:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?BUY0.998$6.59
05-19 15:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?BUY0.998999937$6.58
05-10 13:21Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 12?BUY0.98$6.45
04-28 14:21Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?BUY0.995$6.43
04-21 12:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 23?BUY0.996$6.41
04-17 11:14Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 19?BUY0.999$3.41
04-17 11:14Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 19?BUY0.999$3.00