OnlyBUYNO
0x199f9e490b812d977c8549c993e2ce0cccfb3d76
- Realised P&L
- $48.1k
- Volume
- $324.5k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $6.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.055 | $6.02 | −$24.63 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.48 |
| Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? · Yes | 0.902 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.19 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.070StarCraft II: Clem vs Lambo - Map 1 Winner
- +$6.5kat 0.020Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?
- +$4.8kat 0.070Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- +$4.3kat 0.190Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$4.0kat 0.040Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$82.5 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9989999501 | $6.66 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.67 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.02 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.9989997819 | $4.10 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.57 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.37 |
| 07-12 13:17 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $6.48 |
| 06-14 13:12 | Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 05-20 14:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.59 |
| 05-19 15:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19? | BUY | 0.998999937 | $6.58 |
| 05-10 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.45 |
| 04-28 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.43 |
| 04-21 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.41 |
| 04-17 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.41 |
| 04-17 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |