0x199d5AE501bF9E6765c0Bb12cc8D759AAff613F1-1777752449806
0x199d5ae501bf9e6765c0bb12cc8d759aaff613f1
- Realised P&L
- $-38.32
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $37.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.03at 0.095Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$-1.03at 0.206Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
- +$-1.04at 0.048Will MrBeast say "Impressive" during his next video?
- +$-1.04at 0.009Will MrBeast say "This Year" during his next video?
- +$-1.04at 0.198Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:40 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 12:40 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 12:39 | Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 12:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7719999926 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 04:23 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.7939995744 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:23 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison? | BUY | 0.0387966689 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:23 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | BUY | 0.1029999168 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:23 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.1089999139 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:22 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:22 | Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:22 | Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in June? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:21 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:21 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:20 | Evo Morales arrested by May 31? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 04:20 | Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |