PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x199b1c46026106432bc8F11C4BDB8dB5B617cd69-1786180773773

0x199b1c46026106432bc8f11c4bdb8db5b617cd69

Realised P&L
$-238.49
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$255.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13? · Yes0.9901.000$177.91+$1.69
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 14? · Yes0.9900.545$77.13−$62.98
Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 2? · No0.0730.000$0.00−$2.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 16:57Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 14?BUY0.99$140.10
10-13 07:57Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?BUY0.99$7.92
10-13 07:57Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?BUY0.99$168.30
10-12 22:53Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 12?BUY0.99$13.17
10-12 10:22Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 12?BUY0.99$45.54
10-12 08:47Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 12?BUY0.99$198.00
10-11 12:44Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 11?BUY0.99$4.95
10-11 12:44Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 11?BUY0.99$97.02
10-11 11:57Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 11?BUY0.99$64.30
10-11 07:55Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 11?BUY0.988$14.77
10-11 07:29Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 11?BUY0.96$4.80
10-11 01:56Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 10?BUY0.99$5.00
10-11 00:43Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 10?BUY0.99$198.00
10-10 06:54Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 10?BUY0.988$39.62
10-07 18:52Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 7?BUY0.99$13.86