PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PeterSagan

0x198fa74120438fb7cabccb61aa824c6720dfc419

Realised P&L
$-425.5k
Volume
$30.46M
Markets traded
3,696
Open portfolio
$1.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,696
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0060.001$1.00−$10.93
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0270.001$0.69−$36.72
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot · Jiri Lehecka0.2500.000$0.00−$3.0k
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$8.9k
Raiders vs. Jets · Jets0.3400.000$0.00−$645.61
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00−$435.76
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur · Alexander Zverev0.5400.000$0.00−$7.9k
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00−$2.4k
Chargers vs. Rams · Chargers0.0780.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Australia win? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$175.00
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.2250.000$0.00−$2.2k
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5) · Chelsea FC0.4390.000$0.00−$6.2k
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.3070.000$0.00−$4.0k
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6000.000$0.00−$3.0k
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) · Tottenham Hotspur FC0.4560.000$0.00−$6.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:08Chargers vs. RamsBUY0.077608076$1.3k
11-01 23:06Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?SELL0.999$5.1k
11-01 19:45Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.0069894577$6.63
11-01 18:47Titans vs. BengalsBUY0.68$1.4k
11-01 17:59Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.61$245.77
11-01 16:34Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.33$4.92
10-31 14:03Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)BUY0.4538758073$1.8k
10-31 13:11Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.33$1.9k
10-31 13:06Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.61$1.1k
10-31 11:04Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.55$2.8k
10-31 10:28Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet DartBUY0.5652366221$528.04
10-31 09:57Will the match end in a draw?BUY0.95$0.08
10-30 21:41Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-10-30?BUY0.8595217204$6.7k
10-30 13:23Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han ShiSELL0.82$8.1k
10-30 12:32Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han ShiBUY0.59$100.05