jbender
0x198f1a26f9e77b472ee8833446c0b8aa0da26f35
- Realised P&L
- $6.81
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $9.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) · LEGION | 0.790 | 0.810 | $9.02 | +$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.03at 0.999Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?
- +$3.52at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 3?
- +$3.28at 0.724Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?
- +$0.88at 0.620Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$0.49at 0.977Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:08 | Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) | BUY | 0.7899999982 | $8.80 |
| 01-31 13:40 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999349 | $14.07 |
| 01-30 15:03 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.31 |
| 01-30 14:43 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.89 |
| 01-30 12:52 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999961 | $37.14 |
| 01-30 12:17 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.84 |
| 12-30 17:02 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.87 |
| 12-30 10:12 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.41 |
| 12-30 09:04 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.81 |
| 12-30 08:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.70 |
| 12-29 22:26 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999664 | $8.70 |
| 12-29 19:51 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.29 |
| 12-29 19:49 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.997999992 | $22.66 |
| 12-29 19:03 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9879999998 | $22.59 |
| 10-30 21:27 | Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.09 |