PolyBot

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Traders

CryingOctopus

0x198cc471c839b77adb66159c0aec4314b8efab02

Realised P&L
$118.96
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$148.48

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 16? · Yes0.3581.000$57.57+$36.93
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17? · No0.9471.000$22.47+$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17? · No0.7910.780$10.86$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 16? · No0.5501.000$7.50+$3.37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.4000.955$7.42+$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? · No0.7010.400$6.20$4.66
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 16? · No0.6901.000$5.91+$1.83
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17? · No0.6800.670$5.44$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17? · Yes0.2900.990$5.11+$3.61
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 17? · No0.6200.680$4.98+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17? · No0.7600.750$4.49$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17? · No0.6500.590$3.86$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 17? · No0.6500.610$3.62$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17? · Yes0.4200.460$2.68+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.3100.075$0.38$1.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:20Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.68$5.52
09-17 05:19Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.62$4.54
09-17 03:31Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.96$9.59
09-17 03:31Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.7828571429$5.48
09-17 03:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17?BUY0.42$2.45
09-17 03:31Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17?BUY0.69$4.75
09-17 03:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.65$4.26
09-17 03:12Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 17?BUY0.65$3.85
09-16 23:11Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.76$4.54
09-16 21:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.29$1.50
09-16 20:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17?BUY0.4$3.11
09-16 19:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.2511347518$1.42
09-16 19:01Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 17?BUY0.31$1.57
09-16 18:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.8$5.54
09-16 18:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17?BUY0.71$6.11