CryingOctopus
0x198cc471c839b77adb66159c0aec4314b8efab02
- Realised P&L
- $118.96
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $148.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.81at 0.347Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 5?
- +$13.89at 0.532Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 15?
- +$11.83at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?
- +$10.79at 0.582Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 15?
- +$10.52at 0.575Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.52 |
| 09-17 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.54 |
| 09-17 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.59 |
| 09-17 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7828571429 | $5.48 |
| 09-17 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.45 |
| 09-17 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.75 |
| 09-17 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.26 |
| 09-17 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.85 |
| 09-16 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.54 |
| 09-16 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.11 |
| 09-16 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2511347518 | $1.42 |
| 09-16 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.57 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.54 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.71 | $6.11 |