0x1985D4aa4Cf3638a4F7C54Cfb1c6e2F34FDE40E2-1761736123765
0x1985d4aa4cf3638a4f7c54cfb1c6e2f34fde40e2
- Realised P&L
- $-153.30
- Volume
- $77.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $7.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7? · No | 0.080 | 0.055 | $7.18 | −$3.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Down | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET · Up | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.82 |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · No | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up | 0.519 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.92at 0.610US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$3.46at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$1.58at 0.107Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$0.82at 0.110Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.72at 0.892Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7? | BUY | 0.0796168582 | $10.39 |
| 11-01 11:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999918 | $2.82 |
| 11-01 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 10:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999214 | $1.12 |
| 11-01 10:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999438 | $6.62 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8799998922 | $5.88 |
| 11-01 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 12:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |