AlvaroMenchaca
0x19839de4a35213eaee2f9fe7319c501a78d39294
- Realised P&L
- $3.76
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $294.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.920 | 0.910 | $98.91 | −$1.09 |
| Bills vs. Rams: O/U 72.5 · Under | 0.900 | 1.000 | $33.32 | +$3.32 |
| Spread: Rams (-20.5) · Bills | 0.900 | 1.000 | $33.32 | +$3.32 |
| Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5) · SSC Napoli | 0.900 | 0.905 | $30.17 | +$0.17 |
| Spread: RB Leipzig (-3.5) · PSV | 0.920 | 0.915 | $29.84 | −$0.16 |
| Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.920 | 0.915 | $29.84 | −$0.16 |
| RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.830 | 0.820 | $29.64 | −$0.36 |
| Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.920 | 0.915 | $9.95 | −$0.05 |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5) · Angers SCO | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 64.5 · Under | 0.905 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-3.5) · AFC Bournemouth | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: Slovakia (-2.5) · Moldova | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| United States vs. Chile: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.44at 0.914Spread: Grenada (-2.5)
- +$9.44at 0.914St. Kitts and Nevis vs. Grenada: O/U 5.5
- +$7.79at 0.866TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 5.5
- +$7.12at 0.904Spread: Jamaica (-2.5)
- +$4.98at 0.671Spread: Spain (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 22:24 | Bills vs. Rams: O/U 72.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 22:23 | Spread: Rams (-20.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 21:47 | Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 21:47 | Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 21:45 | Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 21:44 | Spread: RB Leipzig (-3.5) | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 21:43 | RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 21:43 | RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 01:58 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 06:00 | Spread: Commanders (-20.5) | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 05:58 | Spread: Patriots (-20.5) | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 04:13 | Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 04:03 | Spread: St. Louis City SC (-3.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 03:56 | Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 03:50 | Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5) | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $30.00 |