PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AlvaroMenchaca

0x19839de4a35213eaee2f9fe7319c501a78d39294

Realised P&L
$3.76
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$294.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 6.5 · Under0.9200.910$98.91−$1.09
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 72.5 · Under0.9001.000$33.32+$3.32
Spread: Rams (-20.5) · Bills0.9001.000$33.32+$3.32
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5) · SSC Napoli0.9000.905$30.17+$0.17
Spread: RB Leipzig (-3.5) · PSV0.9200.915$29.84−$0.16
Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 · Under0.9200.915$29.84−$0.16
RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 5.5 · Under0.8300.820$29.64−$0.36
Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 5.5 · Under0.9200.915$9.95−$0.05
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 5.5 · Under0.9400.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5) · Angers SCO0.9000.000$0.00−$10.00
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 64.5 · Under0.9050.000$0.00−$10.00
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5 · Under0.8400.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Chelsea FC (-3.5) · AFC Bournemouth0.9400.000$0.00−$30.00
Spread: Slovakia (-2.5) · Moldova0.8000.000$0.00−$10.00
United States vs. Chile: O/U 5.5 · Under0.9500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 22:24Bills vs. Rams: O/U 72.5BUY0.9$30.00
10-12 22:23Spread: Rams (-20.5)BUY0.9$30.00
10-12 21:47Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)BUY0.9$30.00
10-12 21:47Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5BUY0.9199999988$30.00
10-12 21:45Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 5.5BUY0.9199999963$10.00
10-12 21:44Spread: RB Leipzig (-3.5)BUY0.9199999988$30.00
10-12 21:43RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 5.5BUY0.8299999978$30.00
10-12 21:43RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 6.5BUY0.92$100.00
10-12 01:58Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.9299999997$30.00
10-11 06:00Spread: Commanders (-20.5)BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-11 05:58Spread: Patriots (-20.5)BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-11 04:13Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5BUY0.9199999988$30.00
10-11 04:03Spread: St. Louis City SC (-3.5)BUY0.9$30.00
10-11 03:56Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)BUY0.9199999988$30.00
10-11 03:50Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)BUY0.8899999979$30.00