PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x19800f4E79a4b6865cF07F5DacDF7Eb0475E1A7B-1764893730709

0x19800f4e79a4b6865cf07f5dacdf7eb0475e1a7b

Realised P&L
$-63.32
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$30.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.064$18.82$3.18
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1250.102$9.75$2.25
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7100.755$1.68+$0.10
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4500.037$0.08$0.92
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? · No0.0450.000$0.00$47.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:07Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.1086455973$10.00
09-16 19:44Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.068833682$20.00
06-19 05:55Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?BUY0.0448785153$47.78
06-16 07:54Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3476820634$2.00
04-15 08:27Stripe IPO before 2027?SELL0.08$0.18
04-03 10:30Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7099999056$1.58
04-03 10:24Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?SELL0.14594$1.46
03-02 20:57Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.5799994896$1.00
02-25 22:48Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?SELL0.11$0.78
02-06 05:07Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?SELL0.24$0.28
02-02 21:36Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
02-02 20:27Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?BUY0.0419999612$1.00
02-01 16:35US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.002$1.00
01-29 15:52Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?BUY0.8379999573$2.00
01-03 12:05Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?BUY0.9299999907$1.00