cr1mean
0x197cb77ee9e7c1a648ac341ce52c98884c6a9b94
- Realised P&L
- $-25.0k
- Volume
- $1.98M
- Markets traded
- 409
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded409
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.295 | $3.0k | −$2.0k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.310 | $310.00 | −$120.00 |
| LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.052 | $83.33 | −$162.20 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.080 | $39.75 | −$40.25 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch · Yes | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.07 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · FURIA | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · G2 | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.217Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$6.3kat 0.792Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$3.0kat 0.130Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$2.8kat 0.836Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$2.8kat 0.886Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 09-10 19:57 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 09-09 15:35 | LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.1273903738 | $95.23 |
| 09-09 14:05 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9563177 | $1.4k |
| 09-09 13:33 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94876655 | $1.9k |
| 09-09 12:13 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3496777153 | $1.5k |
| 09-09 10:28 | LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.75 | $281.25 |
| 09-09 09:55 | LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.3242255902 | $57.55 |
| 09-09 09:51 | LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.1758191304 | $150.30 |
| 09-08 13:58 | Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale? | SELL | 0.1946924302 | $51.36 |
| 09-08 13:43 | Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 09-08 13:39 | Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale? | SELL | 0.776 | $245.40 |
| 09-08 12:13 | Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.4495042879 | $362.71 |
| 09-07 08:05 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 09-04 09:51 | Over $4M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.7k |