0x1967935bC4C6C69Aa621a857DED486bDFe7fA4d9-1762188950601
0x1967935bc4c6c69aa621a857ded486bdfe7fa4d9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $24.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.095 | $23.75 | −$76.25 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.001 | $0.53 | −$24.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.19at 0.720LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$67.06at 0.928Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February?
- +$22.56at 0.790Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$21.95at 0.820Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$17.27at 0.850Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 21:48 | LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | BUY | 0.01 | $70.55 |
| 04-10 21:46 | LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | SELL | 0.01 | $1.50 |
| 04-10 21:07 | LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | BUY | 0.1301919816 | $18.96 |
| 04-10 00:47 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0779999965 | $20.00 |
| 04-10 00:44 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-01 04:04 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.1 | $23.65 |
| 03-26 12:31 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0467840316 | $25.00 |
| 03-26 12:05 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 03-22 10:17 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | BUY | 0.7199999995 | $267.92 |
| 03-13 10:50 | Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0067375413 | $15.00 |
| 02-22 23:25 | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 02-22 23:23 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 02-22 23:22 | Les Wexner arrested by March 31? | BUY | 0.0691549686 | $20.00 |
| 02-22 23:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | SELL | 0.13 | $162.61 |
| 02-22 15:19 | Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4575748458 | $10.00 |