PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kalighon

0x1964c616db6b72363fdec3832d11d60ab9769faf

Realised P&L
$14.98
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$87.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)13.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.0180.750$41.67+$40.67
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.2610.821$23.33+$15.91
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20? · No0.3400.365$5.37+$0.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? · Yes0.2860.320$4.47+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 20? · Yes0.0900.080$2.65$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? · Yes0.0300.034$2.27+$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 20? · No0.4500.480$2.13+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 21? · Yes0.0230.015$1.32$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.0310.038$1.23+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 20? · Yes0.0260.025$0.96$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.0080.006$0.81$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on September 20? · Yes0.0200.005$0.55$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 82°F or higher on September 21? · Yes0.0080.003$0.37$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? · Yes0.0600.004$0.13$1.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20?SELL0.001$0.06
09-20 08:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.12$1.08
09-20 07:45Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.209$1.42
09-20 07:38Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.2773290824$6.00
09-20 07:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.02253098$2.00
09-20 07:26Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.002$1.00
09-20 07:08Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
09-20 07:08Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.0309999995$1.00
09-20 06:59Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.0599999988$2.00
09-20 06:29Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?BUY0.2864197375$4.00
09-20 06:29Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.0260869561$1.00
09-20 06:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.0904077389$3.00
09-20 06:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.0080506655$1.00
09-20 06:05Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.05$1.00
09-20 05:57Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.0179999999$1.00