MRDYM
0x1960ef9e4c2c0fd0a53722463fe346e8424bdf1b
- Realised P&L
- $-114.04
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $52.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.64at 0.200Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
- +$47.45at 0.170Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$6.11at 0.052GPT ads by March 31?
- +$0.55at 0.647Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$-1.36at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:39 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0260617326 | $53.79 |
| 04-19 09:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.159 | $16.64 |
| 04-17 17:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1719999934 | $18.00 |
| 04-17 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $0.95 |
| 02-12 14:25 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million? | BUY | 0.3337324166 | $22.00 |
| 02-12 14:23 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | SELL | 0.55414 | $22.17 |
| 02-08 14:05 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999881 | $11.00 |
| 02-08 14:01 | GPT ads by March 31? | SELL | 0.1154975559 | $11.11 |
| 01-20 15:15 | Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2? | BUY | 0.3038043591 | $42.00 |
| 01-20 15:14 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $37.65 |
| 01-19 15:03 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 01-18 22:31 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0775534959 | $20.00 |
| 01-17 21:52 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 01-17 11:49 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2414001207 | $40.00 |
| 01-17 10:40 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999969 | $40.00 |