jiekai
0x195e8a5d21819df035cdac8f2c40ae433fe75b32
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $290.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,062
- Open portfolio
- $29.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,062
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$502.89at 0.375Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
- +$448.77at 0.018Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 1?
- +$359.78at 0.450Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$358.80at 0.482Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$249.47at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.95 |
| 09-28 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.17 |
| 09-28 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.48 |
| 09-28 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.0106857237 | $1.62 |
| 09-28 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.46 |
| 09-28 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.0698529412 | $23.75 |
| 05-02 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.12 |
| 05-02 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.81 |
| 05-01 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.60 |
| 05-01 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 05-01 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 04-30 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.14 |
| 04-30 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.44 |
| 04-30 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 04-30 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |