GyurcsanyFero
0x195e73f1adbf3beae54e4455bbe3a1e7eb32a7b6
- Realised P&L
- $-52.67
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $134.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.595 | $66.11 | +$16.11 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.405 | $54.36 | +$4.36 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.085 | $13.60 | −$26.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.82at 0.127Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
- +$5.50at 0.600Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$2.28at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$0.43at 0.661Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
- +$0.40at 0.094San Marino: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 17:48 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.3725490177 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 16:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $16.00 |
| 08-10 13:52 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.0666006601 | $3.03 |
| 08-10 13:52 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 08-05 22:48 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 07:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.56 |
| 07-31 21:18 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 07-29 20:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 20:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 17:54 | Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 17:52 | Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.92 | $19.78 |
| 07-29 17:51 | Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 17:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.755 | $20.40 |
| 07-29 16:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 10:33 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999902 | $15.00 |