sinnet5
0x19576f417bf382a1f2cbece80a6f6404aa4d11d2
- Realised P&L
- $-54.04
- Volume
- $630.88
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $8.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.325 | $6.50 | −$2.30 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.100 | $2.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.20at 0.290Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?
- +$4.00at 0.300Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
- +$3.26at 0.330Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?
- +$0.81at 0.837Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
- +$0.18at 0.847Will Italy win on 2026-09-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:01 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 02:51 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-03 22:03 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-28 02:11 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.17 |
| 09-28 02:10 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%? | SELL | 0.218 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:45 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 14:21 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-17 12:38 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-16 13:17 | Valencia: Maria Garcia Cid vs Yasmine Kabbaj | SELL | 0.4586666667 | $13.76 |
| 09-15 09:17 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-14 13:08 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:46 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |