183xx
0x19557e938337f6d9f8103b47262dcf8504ad9865
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $226.1k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.065 | $2.0k | −$5.9k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.085 | $110.27 | −$136.21 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.120 | $0.95 | −$1.05 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in April? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.09 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.45 |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.70 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.419Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$474.50at 0.592Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
- +$250.19at 0.179Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
- +$122.04at 0.257Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?
- +$83.11at 0.249Will Solana reach $110 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 14:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1829998798 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 02:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 05:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999625 | $3.50 |
| 08-14 05:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999994 | $241.98 |
| 08-14 01:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 02:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 00:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.26 |
| 08-02 00:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999128 | $1.22 |
| 07-31 17:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.73 |
| 07-31 14:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.35 |
| 07-31 14:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 07-31 14:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.84 |
| 07-31 09:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 07-29 21:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | SELL | 0.0020083083 | $9.35 |
| 07-29 21:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | SELL | 0.00366 | $3.66 |