PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

183xx

0x19557e938337f6d9f8103b47262dcf8504ad9865

Realised P&L
$-7.5k
Volume
$226.1k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2610.065$2.0k$5.9k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.085$110.27$136.21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2530.120$0.95$1.05
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$25.00
Will Solana dip to $30 in April? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$360.09
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$25.00
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$19.45
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$33.70
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 14:07Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1829998798$1.00
08-18 02:18Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-14 05:27Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999625$3.50
08-14 05:26Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999994$241.98
08-14 01:40Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-10 02:49Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-06 00:57Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.26
08-02 00:40Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999128$1.22
07-31 17:27Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?SELL0.002$0.73
07-31 14:41Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.35
07-31 14:41Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?SELL0.001$0.00
07-31 14:40Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?SELL0.001$0.84
07-31 09:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?SELL0.001$0.00
07-29 21:36Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?SELL0.0020083083$9.35
07-29 21:36Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?SELL0.00366$3.66