0x1955107425815A5c1aB64832832C180BC5E8b54C-1771966376342
0x1955107425815a5c1ab64832832c180bc5e8b54c
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $39.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.984 | $2.0k | +$24.00 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · No | 0.975 | 0.984 | $983.50 | +$8.50 |
| Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.13at 0.969Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
- +$164.10at 0.950US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$116.72at 0.981Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$111.45at 0.960Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
- +$96.70at 0.970Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 11:31 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 08-31 11:29 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $975.00 |
| 07-07 15:52 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 07-06 12:54 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 12:53 | Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-05 16:33 | Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 07-05 16:31 | Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 07-05 11:05 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 10:39 | Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-03 14:43 | Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 07-03 14:43 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 07-03 14:42 | Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-01 19:34 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $118.56 |
| 06-30 20:43 | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.1k |
| 06-26 20:35 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.9833257193 | $175.00 |