PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1953C0466Df223BC9407ce828477Cd0de422EE67-1769440536580

0x1953c0466df223bc9407ce828477cd0de422ee67

Realised P&L
$3.35
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$3.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 17? · Yes0.0100.009$0.52−$0.03
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 17? · Yes0.0100.015$0.47+$0.17
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 17? · Yes0.0100.015$0.45+$0.15
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on October 17? · No0.0100.015$0.45+$0.15
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on October 17? · Yes0.0100.015$0.45+$0.15
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on October 17? · No0.0100.015$0.45+$0.15
Will the price of Solana be above $85 on October 17? · No0.0100.013$0.39+$0.09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 17? · No0.0100.011$0.33+$0.03
Ethereum above 2,480 on October 10, 3PM ET? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$0.30
Bitcoin above 85,000 on October 10, 3PM ET? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.30
Ethereum above 2,540 on October 10, 1PM ET? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.30
Bitcoin above 83,600 on October 10, 3PM ET? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.30
Ethereum above 2,570 on October 10, 3PM ET? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.30
Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 10, 3PM ET? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.30
Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 10, 1PM ET? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 12:03Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.969$9.69
06-28 05:02Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.5799999981$107.19
06-27 07:27Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.4499999968$48.89
06-27 07:26Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
06-27 05:29Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?SELL0.999$158.09
06-27 04:31Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY0.6299999987$99.70
06-25 00:20Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2099999948$29.25
04-17 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ETBUY0.997$29.99
04-16 18:50Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSELL0.999$10.08
04-16 18:47Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.99$9.99
04-16 18:32S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?BUY0.6125755413$4.85
04-16 18:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?BUY0.4193876911$47.68
04-16 18:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?SELL0.53$48.35
04-16 18:29Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.7199999856$9.60
04-16 18:16S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?BUY0.3641732014$4.75