0x1953C0466Df223BC9407ce828477Cd0de422EE67-1769440536580
0x1953c0466df223bc9407ce828477cd0de422ee67
- Realised P&L
- $3.35
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $3.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.27at 0.587Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$58.95at 0.457Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$57.28at 0.637Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$3.61at 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$0.08at 0.997Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 12:03 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.969 | $9.69 |
| 06-28 05:02 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.5799999981 | $107.19 |
| 06-27 07:27 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4499999968 | $48.89 |
| 06-27 07:26 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 06-27 05:29 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $158.09 |
| 06-27 04:31 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $99.70 |
| 06-25 00:20 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.2099999948 | $29.25 |
| 04-17 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $29.99 |
| 04-16 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $10.08 |
| 04-16 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.99 |
| 04-16 18:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16? | BUY | 0.6125755413 | $4.85 |
| 04-16 18:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16? | BUY | 0.4193876911 | $47.68 |
| 04-16 18:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16? | SELL | 0.53 | $48.35 |
| 04-16 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $9.60 |
| 04-16 18:16 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16? | BUY | 0.3641732014 | $4.75 |