0x19511227648c904e325be24b9a226a2db95cbde5
- Realised P&L
- $-77.70
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $58.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.43at 0.127Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?
- +$12.49at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?
- +$10.63at 0.150Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$9.36at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 21?
- +$9.22at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.94 |
| 08-04 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.94 |
| 08-04 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.94 |
| 08-04 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 08-04 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.93 |
| 08-04 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 08-04 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.75 |
| 08-04 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.95 |
| 08-04 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3168 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.93 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.86 |
| 08-03 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 08-03 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.92 |
| 08-03 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 08-03 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.94 |