PolyBot

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Traders

0x19511227648c904e325be24b9a226a2db95cbde5

Realised P&L
$-77.70
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$58.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? · Yes0.1661.000$11.75+$9.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.2801.000$6.66+$4.79
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.2800.905$6.03+$4.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? · Yes0.3300.975$5.73+$3.79
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? · Yes0.3901.000$5.00+$3.05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? · Yes0.2500.375$2.88+$0.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? · Yes0.3200.405$2.45+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? · Yes0.3500.415$2.30+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? · Yes0.2400.250$2.00+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? · Yes0.3700.375$1.97+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? · Yes0.2900.285$1.90$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? · Yes0.2600.225$1.67$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6? · Yes0.3100.265$1.66$0.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5? · Yes0.3300.255$1.50$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? · Yes0.3200.225$1.36$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?BUY0.35$1.94
08-04 11:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5?BUY0.33$1.94
08-04 10:09Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.31$1.94
08-04 09:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.24$1.92
08-04 09:07Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.29$1.93
08-04 09:06Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?BUY0.25$1.92
08-04 05:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4?BUY0.14$1.75
08-04 02:58Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.37$1.95
08-04 02:57Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.3168$1.98
08-04 01:56Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.29$1.93
08-03 20:49Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.28$1.86
08-03 19:48Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 4?BUY0.25$1.92
08-03 15:43Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.26$1.92
08-03 14:42Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.19$1.90
08-03 14:41Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.34$1.94