0x19511227648c904e325be24b9a226a2db95cbde5
0x19511227648c904e325be24b9a226a2db95cbde5
- Realised P&L
- $-148.64
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 416
- Open portfolio
- $56.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded416
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.35at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?
- +$12.37at 0.129Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?
- +$12.34at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 19?
- +$10.55at 0.156Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$9.73at 0.173Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.94 |
| 10-11 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.94 |
| 10-11 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.94 |
| 10-11 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1852471483 | $1.95 |
| 10-11 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.3217491749 | $1.95 |
| 10-11 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-11 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.95 |
| 10-11 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.94 |
| 10-11 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.117 | $1.80 |
| 10-11 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 10-11 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.233997599 | $1.95 |
| 10-10 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.89 |
| 10-10 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.302248062 | $1.95 |
| 10-10 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.94 |
| 10-10 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |