0x194eaf1c889507b1afb2042766dbd15600cfe2cc
0x194eaf1c889507b1afb2042766dbd15600cfe2cc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.24
- Volume
- $43.02
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner · Team Synapse | 0.430 | 0.530 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 4? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.255 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Spread: Lions (-4.5) · Lions | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| MGS Panserraïkós vs. APS Panthrakikós: MGS Panserraïkós 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| CD Guastatoya vs. Aurora FC: CD Guastatoya O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| BNB Up or Down - August 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.34at 0.437Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$0.93at 0.527Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$0.89at 0.537BNB Up or Down - August 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$0.56at 0.646BNB Up or Down - August 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$0.47at 0.685Ethereum above 1,940 on August 19, 10AM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:10 | Spread: Lions (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:10 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:10 | CD Guastatoya vs. Aurora FC: CD Guastatoya O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:10 | Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $0.96 |
| 10-04 17:04 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 4? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 16:48 | Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 13:12 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.45 | $0.98 |
| 10-03 13:05 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 16:39 | Bitcoin above 68,800 on August 19, 1PM ET? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 16:39 | Ethereum above 2,100 on August 19, 1PM ET? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 16:38 | Bitcoin above 68,400 on August 19, 1PM ET? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.19 |
| 08-19 16:16 | Bitcoin above 68,400 on August 19, 1PM ET? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 15:46 | MGS Panserraïkós vs. APS Panthrakikós: MGS Panserraïkós 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 14:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 13:07 | Ethereum above 1,940 on August 19, 10AM ET? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |