ACFER310
0x194cd30302b89b43aa1f5ff27e5a45c45585a592
- Realised P&L
- $230.32
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $30.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? · No | 0.975 | 0.981 | $30.17 | +$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.60at 0.540Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$3.14at 0.919Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.53at 0.952Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.43at 0.920Will Solana reach $210 in May?
- +$1.32at 0.960Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 29-July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.975 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 11:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $33.70 |
| 10-03 01:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9779999788 | $33.20 |
| 09-29 04:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $32.70 |
| 09-28 01:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.40 |
| 09-27 14:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9939999754 | $32.20 |
| 09-25 08:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999996 | $31.80 |
| 09-18 11:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 03:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.9950428886 | $29.90 |
| 09-13 06:20 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9917260424 | $36.20 |
| 09-11 02:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $36.00 |
| 09-10 14:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9899999989 | $35.60 |
| 09-09 15:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $35.40 |
| 09-09 03:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9882847595 | $35.00 |
| 09-08 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9899999732 | $34.70 |