d32148120948214790125
0x194c88235aae190f11fb45c0a470226e5f09a273
- Realised P&L
- $-89.22
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $46.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.26at 0.124Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?
- +$4.27at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?
- +$4.19at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?
- +$3.35at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?
- +$2.87at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-22 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-22 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-22 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-22 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 09-21 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-21 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-21 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-21 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-20 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 09-20 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-20 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-20 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-19 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-19 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |