ricepudding
0x19479c7b8007fd53499fcd2f896f2f4a68b902b4
- Realised P&L
- $-16.3k
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Markets traded
- 658
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded658
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.062Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$3.2kat 0.490Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
- +$2.1kat 0.162Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?
- +$1.8kat 0.687Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.771Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:41 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $87.90 |
| 09-18 15:21 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.67 | $1.8k |
| 09-18 12:29 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.11 | $66.58 |
| 09-18 12:27 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.14 | $388.51 |
| 09-18 12:26 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 09-18 12:18 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.39 | $37.60 |
| 09-18 12:14 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3062938445 | $500.00 |
| 09-18 12:12 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $275.00 |
| 09-18 12:11 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.23 | $552.00 |
| 09-18 11:52 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2799999999 | $150.00 |
| 09-18 11:49 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.25 | $330.26 |
| 09-18 11:29 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1892430278 | $250.00 |
| 09-18 10:42 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.08 | $64.00 |
| 09-18 10:14 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3 | $39.33 |
| 09-17 11:13 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $9.04 |