0x1945a4c80b626d241aaed36bdb2f4ab6124a839c
0x1945a4c80b626d241aaed36bdb2f4ab6124a839c
- Realised P&L
- $-146.99
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $47.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.765 | $43.86 | +$4.30 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.092 | 0.082 | $3.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.79at 0.150Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$38.54at 0.630US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$21.95at 0.583Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
- +$18.70at 0.670US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$16.79at 0.347US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:27 | Counter-Strike: WBT vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Group B | BUY | 0.6499999973 | $12.00 |
| 10-19 18:59 | Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:03 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.659999999 | $13.52 |
| 10-19 16:45 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.0919999997 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 19:14 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 17:19 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $21.35 |
| 10-18 17:19 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $30.33 |
| 10-18 16:50 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6299999896 | $14.00 |
| 10-18 16:15 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.829999999 | $25.20 |
| 10-18 15:05 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 14:20 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 13:18 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8299999945 | $13.68 |
| 10-18 13:15 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | SELL | 0.2235593934 | $15.92 |
| 10-17 21:05 | Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999986 | $39.56 |
| 10-17 20:46 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.2807968785 | $20.00 |