0x8e7a8d72Bdx10a8H37R6bsF568dFa52E
0x1941ca5d7f587827da004b1b1551b0bd6429deea
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $1.50M
- Markets traded
- 2,627
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,627
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$927.35at 0.023Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?
- +$914.63at 0.077Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?
- +$776.86at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?
- +$719.19at 0.205Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
- +$596.82at 0.847Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.23925 | $47.85 |
| 08-08 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.19 | $15.89 |
| 08-08 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.465499725 | $93.10 |
| 08-08 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-08 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.23 |
| 08-08 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.22 | $14.74 |
| 08-08 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-08 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $349.40 |
| 08-08 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.9950382775 | $155.97 |
| 08-08 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 08-08 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.99 |
| 08-08 10:06 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | SELL | 0.9875852308 | $64.19 |
| 08-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |