0x8e7a1d62KdE17a0e8fH31F8b0F56B8dFa08E
0x1941ca5d7f587827da004b1b1551b0bd6429deea
- Realised P&L
- $15.0k
- Volume
- $1.96M
- Markets traded
- 3,426
- Open portfolio
- $21.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,426
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$926.32at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?
- +$910.90at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?
- +$769.01at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?
- +$713.15at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
- +$693.70at 0.714Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.95 |
| 09-25 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.59 |
| 09-25 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-25 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.7351456311 | $12.12 |
| 09-25 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.64 | $8.32 |
| 09-25 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 09-25 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4896274738 | $75.71 |
| 09-25 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 09-25 13:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-25 12:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 09-25 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-25 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $620.48 |
| 09-25 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $297.00 |
| 09-25 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.68 |
| 09-25 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9878934911 | $99.00 |