PolyBot

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Traders

0x1941C23D614C2D2233d1E29b55D5bA5b1A617F30-1770312170346

0x1941c23d614c2d2233d1e29b55d5ba5b1a617f30

Realised P&L
$-33.34
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$8.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1050.030$2.91$7.09
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$1.62$3.38
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0950.045$0.95$1.05
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3100.125$0.81$1.19
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0970.072$0.75$0.25
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1300.032$0.48$1.52
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3120.055$0.35$1.65
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0580.019$0.34$0.66
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1440.017$0.23$1.77
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.027$0.21$0.79
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1440.022$0.16$0.84
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-15 19:30Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.64$1.60
03-06 23:02Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.032$1.00
03-06 21:48Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
03-06 21:48Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?BUY0.0530000001$2.00
03-06 21:47US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.279000825$2.00
03-06 21:47US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
03-06 21:05Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
03-06 21:04Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?SELL0.2693107932$2.07
03-06 21:03Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0437053847$1.00
03-06 21:03Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.143999886$1.00
03-06 21:03Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.0579999464$1.00
03-05 19:37Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
03-05 19:37Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY0.0382953292$1.00
03-05 19:36Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
03-05 19:36Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.128999904$1.00