0x1941C23D614C2D2233d1E29b55D5bA5b1A617F30-1770312170346
0x1941c23d614c2d2233d1e29b55d5ba5b1a617f30
- Realised P&L
- $-33.34
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $8.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.08at 0.073Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$3.45at 0.170Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$1.07at 0.130Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
- +$0.88at 0.008Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.400Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 19:30 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.60 |
| 03-06 23:02 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:48 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 21:48 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | BUY | 0.0530000001 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 21:47 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.279000825 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 21:47 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 21:05 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:04 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | SELL | 0.2693107932 | $2.07 |
| 03-06 21:03 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0437053847 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:03 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.143999886 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:03 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 19:37 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 19:37 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | BUY | 0.0382953292 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 19:36 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 19:36 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.128999904 | $1.00 |