bondbondbond
0x194044a58ab7a66d461cdb9601a281f99ca50ea1
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $140.5k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.079Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.333Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$470.35at 0.678Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3
- +$305.39at 0.106Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
- +$235.89at 0.216Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:16 | Will G2 Esports be a 2027 VCT Americas partner team? | BUY | 0.82 | $114.80 |
| 08-03 21:32 | Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? | SELL | 0.761 | $0.32 |
| 08-03 21:31 | Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.2161370517 | $179.61 |
| 08-03 18:01 | Will MIBR Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 18:00 | Will MIBR Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | BUY | 0.833756574 | $44.39 |
| 08-03 00:36 | Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? | BUY | 0.6873848827 | $79.12 |
| 08-02 18:58 | Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $189.90 |
| 08-02 18:12 | Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.703 | $10.38 |
| 08-02 18:12 | Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.6994647288 | $585.21 |
| 08-02 14:37 | Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.04 |
| 08-02 12:22 | Will VARREL Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 08-01 23:08 | Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? | SELL | 0.8622253822 | $145.53 |
| 08-01 23:08 | Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.6376409268 | $601.89 |
| 08-01 22:56 | Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.09 |
| 08-01 21:11 | Will Team Liquid Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2 | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |