PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x193df6f9a5619e811c93d969a1f44d621629feeb

Realised P&L
$245.47
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$327.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:32Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.98$2.20
09-14 08:58Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.6365050783$7.03
09-14 08:58Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.6199999946$29.94
09-14 08:51Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.047$41.73
09-05 10:03Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6799999493$3.22
09-05 10:03Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6799999921$10.39
09-05 10:03Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.67$14.11
08-26 08:08Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.3599999936$29.10
08-24 08:31Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.999$58.50
08-07 17:38Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1509999802$5.66
08-07 17:37Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.7608823436$5.97
08-07 17:36Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.739999998$37.53
07-13 00:18Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0269999989$23.97
07-07 12:18Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0856437902$48.63
07-07 12:17Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.72$51.55