MuchWowSuch
0x19396e887e97621404df251933b5d422c722e28b
- Realised P&L
- $-489.72
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $171.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes | 0.366 | 0.090 | $171.84 | −$528.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.39at 0.930Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-16 20:16 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.3665920886 | $699.95 |
| 03-11 20:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | BUY | 0.9299091782 | $502.00 |
| 03-11 20:35 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | BUY | 0.9290037513 | $7.24 |