piko
0x1933fe75ba98c27b31809f97b0200b0b09f293a5
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Markets traded
- 2,891
- Open portfolio
- $194.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,891
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.80at 0.954Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?
- +$148.36at 0.175Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$134.28at 0.799Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$118.39at 0.938Solana above $200 on November 15?
- +$114.41at 0.835Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 12:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 08-29 22:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.54 |
| 08-29 20:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 08-29 18:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 08-29 18:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-29 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.21 |
| 08-29 00:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 08-28 18:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.7 | $0.54 |
| 08-28 18:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.26 |
| 08-28 17:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 29? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.38 |
| 08-28 17:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 08-28 17:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 08-28 17:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 08-28 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.32 |
| 08-28 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.83 |