0x192d52cf2567b923b3fdb69477ddf239c582dc35
0x192d52cf2567b923b3fdb69477ddf239c582dc35
- Realised P&L
- $200.28
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $230.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade · Darwin Blanch | 0.569 | 0.605 | $230.12 | +$13.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.58at 0.399Austria vs. Israel: O/U 3.5
- +$124.70at 0.688Buenos Aires 2: Juan Carlos Prado vs Valerio Aboian
- +$64.82at 0.306Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$28.25at 0.767Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$15.84at 0.863Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:46 | San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade | BUY | 0.5599999979 | $105.37 |
| 09-24 22:41 | San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade | BUY | 0.5782310715 | $111.14 |
| 09-24 22:13 | Buenos Aires 2: Juan Carlos Prado vs Valerio Aboian | SELL | 0.97504675 | $432.77 |
| 09-24 21:34 | Buenos Aires 2: Juan Carlos Prado vs Valerio Aboian | BUY | 0.6736465438 | $299.00 |
| 09-24 20:47 | Austria vs. Israel: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $501.09 |
| 09-24 20:10 | Austria vs. Israel: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3699999994 | $93.09 |
| 09-24 20:08 | Austria vs. Israel: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8093165708 | $118.42 |
| 06-05 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $90.89 |
| 06-05 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999935 | $27.08 |
| 06-05 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.1610891089 | $30.42 |
| 06-05 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999984 | $103.88 |
| 06-05 19:15 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.159 | $111.07 |
| 06-05 18:19 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $111.77 |
| 06-05 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $98.43 |