hafuo
0x19288abf8d87f9d90dd854c514b96cb3c516b00f
- Realised P&L
- $112.87
- Volume
- $25.1k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $69.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $24.86 | −$0.09 |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 20? · No | 0.999 | 0.986 | $22.97 | −$0.30 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on September 18? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $21.95 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.00at 0.910Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
- +$34.77at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$23.30at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 10?
- +$16.53at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 7?
- +$11.52at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.28 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 09-17 07:30 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 08-02 07:17 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.21 |
| 08-02 07:16 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 08-02 07:16 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 08-02 07:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 07-03 11:44 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $15.48 |
| 07-03 11:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 07-03 11:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.95 |
| 07-03 11:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.96 |
| 06-27 11:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.59 |
| 06-27 11:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 06-27 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 06-27 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |