lynnpeterson
0x19261005292cc90613aaec3fc64c415dfcc13eaa
- Realised P&L
- $30.30
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $14.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 21-27? · No | 0.710 | 0.510 | $14.28 | −$5.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.97at 0.530Yoon arrested by January 31?
- +$6.86at 0.590Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?
- +$6.04at 0.453Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
- +$4.38at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 29?
- +$2.83at 0.731Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:44 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.11 |
| 01-30 15:40 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.74 |
| 01-30 15:12 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.65 |
| 01-30 13:27 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9989999976 | $47.84 |
| 12-30 10:35 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.84 |
| 12-30 00:39 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.06 |
| 12-29 23:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999539 | $17.02 |
| 12-29 20:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.57 |
| 10-31 16:17 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999626 | $19.26 |
| 10-31 15:16 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.01 |
| 10-30 17:34 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.45 |
| 09-29 18:02 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.03 |
| 09-29 14:52 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.14 |
| 09-29 05:51 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999488 | $14.32 |
| 09-29 04:08 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.51 |