el.gh.
0x191f8d4e13ad043dbd4804acd910c90ab8c199fa
- Realised P&L
- $8.60
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $2.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.76at 0.170Will Trump say "Breaking News" in January?
- +$9.00at 0.250Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$7.02at 0.913Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$6.10at 0.200Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?
- +$5.91at 0.570U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 19:24 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 19:23 | France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 19:01 | France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 22:16 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.0809999191 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 20:31 | France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 17:49 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt? | SELL | 0.572 | $4.08 |
| 07-07 17:34 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 17:33 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 16:34 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 16:33 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 19:11 | Portugal leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 13:14 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 18:24 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 19:42 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 19:41 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |