PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

el.gh.

0x191f8d4e13ad043dbd4804acd910c90ab8c199fa

Realised P&L
$8.60
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$2.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes0.1500.082$1.09−$0.91
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? · Yes0.2100.102$0.49−$0.51
Will Trump deport 600-700k people? · Yes0.0770.018$0.46−$1.54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes0.2200.063$0.29−$0.71
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Hellhole" this week? (February 8) · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above $450? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 19:24Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-14 19:23France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-14 19:01France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?BUY0.459999885$2.00
07-11 22:16Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?BUY0.0809999191$1.00
07-09 20:31France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
07-07 17:49Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?SELL0.572$4.08
07-07 17:34Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-07 17:33Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?BUY0.0879999226$1.00
07-07 16:34Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-07 16:33Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-06 19:11Portugal leading at halftime?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-05 13:14Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-01 18:24Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?BUY0.429999828$1.00
06-30 19:42Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY0.59999994$2.00
06-30 19:41Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsBUY0.4199999272$3.00