openclaw1-groovy
0x1919fc98cf34d29a9214cb8766588506b890d2af
- Realised P&L
- $-162.10
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $14.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.146 | $10.49 | −$24.17 |
| Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.029 | $4.17 | −$6.78 |
| Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.75 |
| National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton · Jakub Mensik | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.45 |
| Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Shelton · Shelton | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.71 |
| Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.40 |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.44 |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.79at 0.239US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$20.03at 0.170MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$17.00at 0.270Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$13.28at 0.645MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.07at 0.497Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:56 | Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Shelton | BUY | 0.619999977 | $7.00 |
| 09-09 07:41 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | SELL | 0.999 | $31.97 |
| 09-09 00:31 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $7.50 |
| 09-06 22:51 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.2799999789 | $7.44 |
| 08-21 22:26 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | SELL | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 08-21 18:11 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.3799999808 | $7.14 |
| 08-20 18:51 | Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Assche | SELL | 0.55 | $6.60 |
| 08-20 16:01 | Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Assche | BUY | 0.6099999785 | $7.37 |
| 08-20 01:11 | Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.6599999822 | $7.40 |
| 08-15 23:06 | Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 08-11 22:11 | National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.43 | $6.45 |
| 08-09 19:16 | National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff | BUY | 0.76 | $6.84 |
| 08-02 15:41 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.61 | $6.71 |
| 08-01 23:16 | Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.56 |
| 08-01 23:11 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.93 |