PolyBot

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Traders

Hamilton

0x1917a426e15613baaf8599061ca4343e26aff8a0

Realised P&L
$-90.64
Volume
$86.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.3720.585$816.97+$297.90
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6300.235$470.00−$790.00
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.5370.345$172.50−$96.10
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$170.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$390.00
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$250.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00−$33.80
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$50.00
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.4210.000$0.00−$547.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:02Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.3370066028$106.67
09-14 20:56Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.28$22.40
09-13 17:13Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.537199944$268.59
09-13 17:08Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.39$218.40
04-21 22:07Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.42$1.3k
04-17 19:52Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.171$1.7k
04-17 19:51Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.45$900.00
04-17 11:49Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.45$191.26
04-17 11:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.172$1.7k
03-27 14:47Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL0.2$446.99
03-27 14:45Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?SELL0.76$4.39
03-26 21:58UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)SELL0.57$100.66
03-26 21:57Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1070230899$10.80
03-26 21:18Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston CougarsSELL0.43$856.29
03-26 21:14Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.86940292$869.40