Hamilton
0x1917a426e15613baaf8599061ca4343e26aff8a0
- Realised P&L
- $-90.64
- Volume
- $86.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.585 | $816.97 | +$297.90 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.235 | $470.00 | −$790.00 |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes | 0.537 | 0.345 | $172.50 | −$96.10 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.00 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.80 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$547.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.400Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$322.27at 0.220Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$0.02at 0.780US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$0.00at 0.420Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$0.00at 0.890Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:02 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.3370066028 | $106.67 |
| 09-14 20:56 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $22.40 |
| 09-13 17:13 | Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.537199944 | $268.59 |
| 09-13 17:08 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $218.40 |
| 04-21 22:07 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.3k |
| 04-17 19:52 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.171 | $1.7k |
| 04-17 19:51 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.45 | $900.00 |
| 04-17 11:49 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.45 | $191.26 |
| 04-17 11:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.172 | $1.7k |
| 03-27 14:47 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.2 | $446.99 |
| 03-27 14:45 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.39 |
| 03-26 21:58 | UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.57 | $100.66 |
| 03-26 21:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1070230899 | $10.80 |
| 03-26 21:18 | Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | SELL | 0.43 | $856.29 |
| 03-26 21:14 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.86940292 | $869.40 |