0x19024e8d43371bbf65ff23854136b3b882a31f10
0x19024e8d43371bbf65ff23854136b3b882a31f10
- Realised P&L
- $-3.81
- Volume
- $187.10
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.110 | $0.41 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.060 | $0.10 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.09at 0.209Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 7?
- +$0.15at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?
- +$-0.48at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 8?
- +$-0.75at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10?
- +$-1.56at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.59 |
| 10-11 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.34 |
| 10-11 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.92 |
| 10-10 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.42 |
| 10-10 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.1851530518 | $1.91 |
| 10-10 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.57 |
| 10-10 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.117 | $0.74 |
| 10-10 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.1499999921 | $1.91 |
| 10-09 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.177 | $0.02 |
| 10-09 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.181 | $0.76 |
| 10-09 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.183 | $0.62 |
| 10-09 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.221 | $0.57 |
| 10-09 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.188 | $0.30 |
| 10-09 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.161999998 | $1.92 |
| 10-08 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.48 |