PolyBot

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Traders

0x19024e8d43371bbf65ff23854136b3b882a31f10

0x19024e8d43371bbf65ff23854136b3b882a31f10

Realised P&L
$-3.81
Volume
$187.10
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$0.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11? · Yes0.2000.110$0.41−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12? · Yes0.1850.060$0.10−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 07:17Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?SELL0.1$0.59
10-11 07:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12?SELL0.07$0.34
10-11 07:04Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?BUY0.2$1.92
10-10 23:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12?SELL0.11$0.42
10-10 22:48Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12?BUY0.1851530518$1.91
10-10 20:54Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10?SELL0.09$0.57
10-10 19:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10?SELL0.117$0.74
10-10 19:08Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 10?BUY0.1499999921$1.91
10-09 05:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?SELL0.177$0.02
10-09 04:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?SELL0.181$0.76
10-09 04:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?SELL0.183$0.62
10-09 04:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?SELL0.221$0.57
10-09 04:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?SELL0.188$0.30
10-09 04:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?BUY0.161999998$1.92
10-08 05:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?SELL0.06$0.48