ImabalanceKelly
0x18fffe69af98b11c10c33889206de5b68ed5c4c9
- Realised P&L
- $-31.03
- Volume
- $548.92
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $14.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat? · No | 0.090 | 0.055 | $6.11 | −$3.89 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.105 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $3.61 | −$1.39 |
| Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale? · Yes | 0.682 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.79 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.91 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 16:02 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0690000001 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 16:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 16:02 | Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.062231317 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 16:01 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 16:01 | Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 16:01 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0690000001 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 16:01 | Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.0562545605 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 16:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $4.48 |
| 04-09 15:47 | Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $0.98 |