Hugot
0x18ec7751ba1fec825c8f76666cdbefd01340f311
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $165.4k
- Markets traded
- 613
- Open portfolio
- $286.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded613
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$276.49at 0.273Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?
- +$268.64at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 25?
- +$209.04at 0.219Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 14?
- +$167.91at 0.317Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 7?
- +$162.89at 0.583Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.1500718816 | $3.55 |
| 10-08 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.2119122462 | $16.18 |
| 10-08 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5422950374 | $39.89 |
| 10-08 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.456 | $11.40 |
| 10-08 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2956113627 | $28.72 |
| 10-08 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.355749 | $35.57 |
| 10-08 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.382 | $38.20 |
| 10-08 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.1119 | $11.19 |
| 10-08 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.012671 | $1.27 |
| 10-08 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.238563 | $23.86 |
| 10-08 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6731494325 | $64.06 |
| 10-08 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.179869 | $17.99 |
| 10-08 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.186872 | $18.69 |
| 10-08 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.09891 | $9.89 |
| 10-08 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.050156 | $5.02 |