PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Hugot

0x18ec7751ba1fec825c8f76666cdbefd01340f311

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$165.4k
Markets traded
613
Open portfolio
$286.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded613
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8? · Yes0.4700.998$99.80+$52.80
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8? · Yes0.6731.000$95.11+$31.06
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? · Yes0.2960.685$66.55+$37.83
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8? · Yes0.5200.255$25.13−$26.16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8? · Yes0.1870.003$0.25−$18.44
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00−$30.53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 30? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00−$19.12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 27? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.3240.000$0.00−$32.35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 25? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 3? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00−$25.46
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 28? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00−$27.84
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 30? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00−$15.40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00−$20.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 06:06Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?SELL0.1500718816$3.55
10-08 06:05Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?SELL0.2119122462$16.18
10-08 05:32Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8?BUY0.5422950374$39.89
10-08 05:31Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8?BUY0.456$11.40
10-08 05:31Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?BUY0.2956113627$28.72
10-08 05:30Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 9?SELL0.355749$35.57
10-08 05:29Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 9?BUY0.382$38.20
10-08 05:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8?SELL0.1119$11.19
10-08 05:16Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8?SELL0.012671$1.27
10-08 05:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 8?SELL0.238563$23.86
10-08 05:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.6731494325$64.06
10-08 04:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.179869$17.99
10-08 03:12Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8?BUY0.186872$18.69
10-08 03:05Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8?BUY0.09891$9.89
10-08 02:53Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8?SELL0.050156$5.02
Trader Hugot · PolyBot Pro