0x18eb63b60ed211c2cd758641b1d609f8648ea602
0x18eb63b60ed211c2cd758641b1d609f8648ea602
- Realised P&L
- $267.00
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $118.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.670 | $38.29 | −$1.71 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? · No | 0.750 | 0.755 | $30.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.585 | $29.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.350 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.63at 0.552Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$67.82at 0.128Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29)
- +$44.36at 0.575Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
- +$41.68at 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$41.51at 0.565Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 09:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 13:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 13:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999895 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 13:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999853 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 12:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 06:41 | England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 14:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 06:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 16:51 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 10:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 10:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.00 |
| 09-04 12:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 12:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 12:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.5418719097 | $20.00 |