SjkyLaoGuo
0x18eb2b1abb538ce9d76dfb88c52a16f196c71378
- Realised P&L
- $65.13
- Volume
- $55.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,726
- Open portfolio
- $101.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,726
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.996 | 1.000 | $40.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $28.90 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $28.88 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.86 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.55at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 22?
- +$0.45at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 16?
- +$0.38at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 23?
- +$0.38at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?
- +$0.35at 0.995Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.84 |
| 10-01 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999648 | $3.86 |
| 10-01 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999648 | $3.86 |
| 09-30 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.996215833 | $23.96 |
| 09-30 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.04 |
| 09-30 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $16.04 |
| 09-30 21:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999416 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 21:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999554 | $21.96 |
| 09-30 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.04 |
| 09-30 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.04 |
| 09-30 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 09-30 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999681 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.04 |