0x18e1e7258c3557141412ff690d603a68092e6b95
0x18e1e7258c3557141412ff690d603a68092e6b95
- Realised P&L
- $-84.70
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $47.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 3? · Yes | 0.599 | 0.670 | $33.57 | +$3.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $13.04 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.018 | $0.88 | −$1.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.74at 0.857Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on June 11?
- +$9.87at 0.617Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 31?
- +$9.39at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?
- +$8.83at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13?
- +$7.62at 0.753Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5990021952 | $30.02 |
| 11-01 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.46 |
| 11-01 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.32 |
| 11-01 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.09 |
| 11-01 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.8959017133 | $39.74 |
| 11-01 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.42 |
| 11-01 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0372 | $1.86 |
| 11-01 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.38 | $15.73 |
| 10-31 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.50 |
| 10-31 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 10-30 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.00 |
| 10-30 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.11 |
| 10-30 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.25 |
| 10-30 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |