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Traders

fourofakind

0x18e157e46f9c7386cea37877e38a039bb169a55a

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$211.8k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9390.971$1.5k+$48.56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$1.2k−$20.41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? · Yes0.9920.999$452.10+$3.02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.8600.915$226.92+$13.64
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3300.275$63.38−$12.68
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9650.993$11.42+$0.32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? · Yes0.9750.976$5.08+$0.00
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yes0.8310.000$0.00−$6.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:16Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$1.2k
11-01 02:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?BUY0.975$5.08
10-31 12:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.33$72.36
10-31 03:33US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.86$213.28
10-31 03:31Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?SELL0.997$213.25
10-30 00:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.3526205435$42.43
10-29 07:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.967$156.65
10-29 07:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.967$1.2k
10-29 07:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9725896226$412.38
10-29 07:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?BUY0.997$119.93
10-29 07:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.995$749.55
10-29 07:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?BUY0.9899504045$329.15
10-29 07:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?BUY0.997$10.51
10-05 12:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.87$5.9k
09-06 09:45Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?BUY0.94$188.00
Trader fourofakind · PolyBot Pro