PolyBot

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Traders

fourofakind

0x18e157e46f9c7386cea37877e38a039bb169a55a

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$164.4k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$12.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.7400.875$6.6k+$1.0k
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.9620.989$3.7k+$100.05
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? · Yes0.9400.985$2.2k+$101.42
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.6120.750$160.42+$29.43
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yes0.8310.000$0.00$6.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 09:45Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?BUY0.94$188.00
09-06 09:34Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.65$12.72
09-06 09:33Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.64$28.74
08-28 03:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.94$1.4k
08-28 03:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.74$5.4k
08-28 02:58Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.6$82.63
08-28 02:58Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.59$6.90
08-26 00:03US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.88$3.6k
08-26 00:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.9787308132$4.2k
08-23 00:39Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?BUY0.999$7.9k
08-22 23:19US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.77$2.5k
08-20 02:52Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?BUY0.998$26.42
08-15 02:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.997$17.4k
08-03 08:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.99$1.6k
08-02 13:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.991$95.04