Palatable-Testimony
0x18e12bfd9d95e63e4553f349c2b5c73789c5cf01
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.215 | $1.5k | +$149.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-104.58at 0.084Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- +$-144.41at 0.160Ebola case in the US by June 30?
- +$-868.03at 0.075Trump out as President before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 02:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.1333442661 | $597.19 |
| 10-19 06:10 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.2960490805 | $789.81 |
| 10-19 05:42 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.0360142199 | $797.81 |
| 07-06 22:11 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $830.31 |
| 07-05 06:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $823.29 |
| 06-18 05:08 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | SELL | 0.0822852388 | $144.39 |
| 06-18 05:08 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $413.94 |
| 06-14 03:59 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.1531446815 | $268.73 |
| 06-11 02:22 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $473.07 |